Ten to Five Hundred Pounds - Challenge #2

ATTEMPT #2
BET #1

Determined to get this one spot on all the way through. Will be tricky as international friendlies are unpredictable. Big teams fail to get results due to experimenting with the team, and players play safe as to ensure they don't get injured in the run up to the Euros. So any bet needs to be very safe!

That said, I like to get decent value on slightly higher odds too, especially at the start of the challenge to get the stake up.

So I picked out Switzerland VS Belgium at half time, the game is currently 1-1 and Belgium are looking to be the more attacking team overall, and they have one of the best teams in the world. The odds for them to win are at 2.64, which reflects the team they have put out, and the fact they have not completely dominated the first half. I am sure they will be eager to win, and will give it everything in the 2nd half.

BET #1 RESULT - WIN

Fortunate that Switzerland got a red 10 minutes from the end, Belgium finally scored 3 minutes later. The game finished 2-1 to Belgium and gets me from £10 -> £26.40

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ATTEMPT #2

BET #2

£26.40 going in to this bet to take us 1 step closer to £500. Still on international friendlies and looking for the safest place to get me to the next step.

So we are 30 minutes into a game I have been keeping an eye on. It is looking very one sided, as you can see.

So the odds for the team on the left are at 1.3. £26.40 on that without a 2nd thought. Now just to wait for the full time result.

The teams in play are FK Olaine VS DSVK Traktors JDFS... and for clarity, the bet is on the home team to win. Loving the away teams name though, ;)

BET #2 RESULT - Lose

Wow, 32 shots from the home team, and not a single goal. They completely dominated and i cant believe they didn't get the result. The bet looked a very safe one, but that's the nature of gambling, anything can happen (or, in this case, not happen).

Subscribe to the blog or keep an eye on facebook for attempt #3.

Ten to Five Hundred Pounds - Challenge #1

I have spent many years betting on sports and over the years I have picked up a few tricks.

If I had one piece of advice for anyone with regards to betting, it is to bet on 'value'.

This blog will be to keep record of my betting adventures, and to share some of my insights which will most definitely make you profit...

There will be 2 main aspects to my blog. Guaranteeing profit by taking advantage of bookies online promotional offers, which I will explain in detail as we go. And then gambling a small proportion of this on multi-leg sports accumulators to build up to big wins.

To catch up on my most recent bets and progress through my current challenge, simply scroll to the bottom as its all in chronological order.

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ATTEMPT #1
BET #1

 This evening I have hand picked an in play game to start a £10-£500 challenge.

This simply means I will start with a £10 bet, and when it wins I will take the original stake and my winnings and put it all on the next bet, time and time again, until we get to £500.

Bet #1 is an in-play bet on: Fram v Throttur Reykjavik from Icelandic League 1. Live score is 0-1 at 65 minutes and odds of 2.7 for it to remain at 0-1.

For this bet I am using Betfair Exchange as it has most of the games available to bet on and has better odds than your typical bookies sportsbook.

Odds of 2.7 means that if it wins, it returns my £10 multiplied by 2.7, which is £27. £17 of this is profit, and the other £10 being my original stake.

 My reasoning for this bet is because both teams are fairly evenly matched judging by their league positions and recent form. The match for the first 65 minutes has had less than average attacking play, shots, shots on target, and corners. This is destined to be low scoring, and with 25 minutes left to play, odds of 2.7 is great value.

  BET #1 RESULT - WIN!

 Finished 0-1. I have now turned £10 into £27. This £27 will go in to bet #2.

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ATTEMPT #1
BET #2

OK so I'm watching the game between BAHIA VS JOINSVILLE progress. The home team were strong favourites before the game started, and are statistically all over the other team at 40 minutes in. 9 shots vs 1, 6 corners vs 0. They are on better form in the Brazilian League 2, and won 4-1 from home last time they played (albeit 2 years ago).

The favourites odds have gone up as the time in the game disappears. It's only a matter of time before Bahia score. So with odds of 1.82 on 888 sport, I am very confident we have a winner on our hands.

My £27 returns from bet #1 is being invested here with a hopeful return of £49.14, which will be £22.14 profit. The £49.14 will then go in to the 3rd bet and get me well on the way to my £500 milestone.

BET #2 RESULT - WIN

Boom! I am now up to almost £50 in just 2 bets. The game finished 1-0 and never looked like being anything other than a Bahia win.

Generally it is better to take lower odds to build up an accumulator like this, as the higher the odds the higher the theoretical chance of your bet losing. Luckily I got odds of 2.7 on the first bet which was a fantastic find on betfair as the odds dropped to just 2.1 about 2 minutes later.

Now the stakes are higher for bet #3, so I will be sure to only bet on high value bets where the in play stats are stacked in my favour. Even if i lose, I will only be down by my original £10 stake, but each win brings me one step closer to my £500 target.

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ATTEMPT #1
BET #3

International Friendlies can be unpredictable. I have picked out Czech Republic vs Malta. Malta will struggle to score many goals in this game but Czech Republic are capable of scoring a few on their day.

Observing the earlier stages in the game it is looking very slow paced and likely to end low scoring. Under 3.5 goals is at odds of 1.67 after 15 minutes with only 2 shots in the game so far. Will there be 4+ goals? Possibly, but odds of 1.67 are pretty decent. High value.

Edit - Czech Republic have decided they dont need lots of shots to score lots of goals. By the time of writing this they are 2-0 and the bet is now very much in doubt. Here's to hoping they're happy with two and take a nap :)

£49.14 -> £82.06 if this comes in.

UPDATE

BET #3 Lost as Czech Republic pulled of an excellent display and scored 5. £10 in the bin. Let's start again. Check out attempt 2 coming very soon.



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To go from £10 to £500 has a theoretical change of happening once every 50 attempts, but I intend to be far more regular than that to earn profit by only placing bets of good value every time.


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