BET #1
STARTING BALANCE - £25
So I am now on attempt #3. This time I am raising the stakes a little and starting at £25 instead of £10. This means I am looking to multiply my stake by 20 times instead of 50, and so this in theory should be that bit more achievable. Betting on low odds of around 1.4, it means I need 2 less games in total to win £500.
I have picked out the Norway VS Iceland international friendly. After 30 minutes Norway are 1-0 up and the stats are very heavily in their favour with them having had the lions share of attacking plays and shots.
Pre-game, Iceland are a higher ranked team according to Fifa, but both are relatively close in the rankings. It is a friendly game and so there is no strong case for either team to be particularly desperate or particularly complacent.
The odds are pretty good for Norway despite being 1-0 up and despite their dominance in the game, most likely because they were slight underdogs before the game began. I have odds of 1.45 with Betfair Exchange, and so my £25 stake is looking to make £11.25 profit.
BET #1 RESULT - WIN
NEW BALANCE - £36.25
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BET #2
STARTING BALANCE - £36.25
Athletico Rafaela VS Ferro Carril Oeste
£36.25 on the home team to win with 0.5 goal handicap at 1.51
Copa Argentina game, where the home team are bottom of the Argentina's top league, and the away team are mid table in the league below them.
Athletico will be without the pressure of being bottom in the league and will be refreshed to be playing a smaller club. The first 5 minutes they have been the better team and pressing hard with 1.5 attacking plays per minute with 1 shot made and 1 corner obtained.
Odds are very even at the moment with the draw being the odds on favourite, but between the two the home team have the slightly better odds. Perhaps higher that they should be because of their poor form in the league.
Should be a close game with the home team being im my opinion the most likely to win. Taking a +0.5 handicap meaning the home team bet wins if it is a draw or better is at 1.51. With safety in mind this is the bet I am going for.
Trivia - for the last 8 competitive games between them the away team have not scored.
And damn it was close. 91st minute goal saved my skin on this. Brings my balance up to £55.46 to put into bet #3
BET #2 RESULT = WIN
NEW BALANCE - £55.46
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BET #3
MPS Helsinki VS Sexy Poxyt
£55.46 on double result (draw or away team to win) at odds of 1.4 with William Hill.
Sexy Poxyt translates to 'sexy pants' according to wikipedia. They are even on possession but are playing a much more attacking game, having had 8 shots to their opponents 1. At half time it is 1-1 and it is looking unlikely that the home team will win this. Odds of 1.4 is not too bad, and I am feeling very confident on this one.
OK so at the time of writing this update, the game has not finished, but it is well and truly over. No close call on this one. Feeling a little silly for playing it safe and not going for the outright win. Its currently 7-1 with 5 minutes to go... so I am going to go ahead and post this up now as a win... 3rd win in a row, bringing us up to £77.64.
BET #3 RESULT - WIN
NEW BALANCE - £77.64
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BET #4
OK so this bet was a bit rushed and not well researched, but I spotted fantastic value on betfair exchange.
Rangsit JW VS Army United II
86 minutes in and its 1-1. Likely to be a draw, with a possibility either team could nick it at the last minute. But with 4 minutes of normal time remaining, when i spotted odds of 1.3 for the draw I had to snap it up. There wasn't quite enough money in the market to put down the full £77.64 and so my bet here is £68.11, which will get me £20.43 profit bringing me to a new total of £98.07.
For anyone following me on a Facebook betting group, sorry that this one was not posted. There was too little time and not enough money in the market. William hill had the bet available at 1.18 which I don't see as being value for money hence the reason for not posting.
5 more bets at odds of around 1.4 will bring me up to the £500 mark. 4 bets done successfully. Nearly half way there.
BET #4 RESULT - WIN
NEW BALANCE - £98.07
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BET #5
Limerick VS Drogheda
Odds of 1.37
Bet on Away Team to Win with +1.5 Handicap
At half time the score is 0-0, and so this bet like most of mine is placed in play. The home team are first in the league and the away team are 2nd. There is a fairly big point difference between the two so the home team are strong favourites.
However the away team are playing very strongly and are showing every sign of taking full points for this game. However they are away against a strong team and so with safety in mind I have gone for +1.5 handicap which means they can lose by 1 goal and my bet will still win.
The game had an excellent finish. The away team went 1-0 down, but then soon took the lead 2-1 and the game finished 2-2. Safely within the handicap. Wouldve been about double the profit if i had gone with 0.5 handicap instead but I am playing safe to ensure I get to the end point of £500. 9 in a row is hard enough without taking big risks :)
BET #5 RESULT - WIN
NEW BALANCE - £133.37
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BET #6
ITS BET TIME
Juventude vs Guarani
Bet on home team to win at 1.61 on william hill
Home team are all over them... If they don't win by a couple i'd be surprised. 30 minutes in and its 5 shots to 0. 24 dangerous attacks to 6.3 corners to 0. Those are my kinda stats. Only time will tell, but I'll be damned if this doesn't go my way.
BET #6 RESULT - Lose
Rather disappointed to say the least. Lost 0-2 and I was so sure for this one.
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